Friday, May 22, 2009

The possible scenarios of the census results

Sudan yesterday announced the long-anticipated census results. The results put the total population of Sudan at only 39m, 8m of them live in the south. Clearly the SPLM, as it has already indicated, will not acknowledge these results and will see it as another attempt from its cunning partner to pave the way for rigging the next elections.
It is also known that the census operation was marred with many flaws such as the fact that the enumerators were unable to access many areas in the westernmost region of Darfur. I think yesterday's announcement marks the beginning of the most crucial stage, if the SPLM does not bow to accept these results, it means the inevitable delay of both, the elections and the referendum. The current stand off also introduces another frightening possibility, the declaration of early Independence.